#822: Oscars Special with Michael Phillips
Best Picture
Adam
Will win: Nomadland
Should win: Sound of Metal
Should have been nominated: First Cow
Take out: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Josh
Will win: Mank
Should win: Sound of Metal
Should have been nominated: First Cow
Take out: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Michael
Will win: Nomadland
Should win: Judas and the Black Messiah
Egregious omission: First Cow
Take out: Promising Young Woman
Best Director
Adam
Will win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Should win: David Fincher, Mank
Egregious omission: Kelly Reichardt, First Cow
Take out: Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
Michael
Will win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Should win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Egregious omission: Kitty Green, The Assistant
Take out: Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
Josh
Will win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Should win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Egregious omission: Kelly Reichardt, First Cow
Take out: David Fincher, Mank
Best Actress
Adam
Will win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Should win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Carrie Coon, The Nest
Take out: n/a
Josh
Will win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Should win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Carrie Coon, The Nest
Take out: Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Michael
Will win: Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Should win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Julia Garner, The Assistant
Take out: Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Best Actor
Adam
Will win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Should win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Kingsley Ben-Adir, One Night in Miami
Take out: Gary Oldman, Mank
Josh
Will win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Should win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Shaun Parkes, Mangrove
Take out: Gary Oldman, Mank
Michael
Will win: Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Should win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah
Take out: Gary Oldman, Mank
Best Supporting Actress
Adam
Will win: Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
Should win: Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Egregious omission: Margo Martindale, Blow the Man Down
Take out: n/a
Josh
Will win: Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
Should win: Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Egregious omission: Yeri Han, Minari
Take out: Olivia Colman, The Father
Michael
Will Win: Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
Should Win: Young Yuh-jung, Minari
Egregious omission: Talia Rider, Never Rarely Sometimes Always
Take out:
Best Supporting Actor
Josh
Will win: Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial of the Chicago 7
Should win: Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah
Egregious omission: Orion Lee, First Cow
Take out: Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial of the Chicago 7
Adam
Will win: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Should win: Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
Egregious omission: Malachi Kirby, Mangrove
Take out: Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial of the Chicago 7
Michael:
Will win: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Should Win: Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
Egregious omission: Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods
Take out: Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial of the Chicago 7